Washington’s regime-change playbook might stall in Havana The U.S. has indicted Raul Castro, former leader of Cuba, in connection with a 1996 shootdown of civilian aircraft. This action is seen as the Trump administration reviving its pressure campaign, previously used against Venezuela, and applying it to Havana. However, the article suggests this strategy may be a miscalculation, as Cuba is fundamentally different from Venezuela.

• The U.S. has indicted Raul Castro, former leader of Cuba, over a 1996 incident where two civilian aircraft were shot down.
• This indictment is interpreted as the Trump administration applying the same pressure campaign used against Venezuela to Cuba.
• The U.S. has previously used criminal indictments as a tool for regime pressure, as seen with the capture of Nicolas Maduro.
• Havana fears it is the next target, with rhetoric from Washington mirroring early stages of a forced transition strategy.
• The article posits that Cuba is not Venezuela, suggesting the U.S. may be making a miscalculation in its approach.