btc etf flow turned negative monday, $-64.1M. that snaps a brief inflow streak and extends the 5-day total to $-288.6M. daily volume was $2.5B against an $83.3B aum base, so turnover stayed moderate. cumulative net inflow since launch still sits at $53.6B, meaning the recent bleed hasn’t yet dented the massive capital parked in these products.

for the trend to flip back, we’d need to see spot buyers stepping in with enough conviction to absorb the current selling pressure. a single session of positive flow above $100M would be a start, but the 5-day window suggests distribution is still the dominant posture. if the next two sessions print red, the weekly outflow could easily top $400M.

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Originally published on FalsifyLab Substack.